[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 050707
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050706 
KSZ000-OKZ000-050900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1514
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 AM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS...NR OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 556...

VALID 050706Z - 050900Z

RADAR IMAGERY LOOPS FROM ICT DEPICT COMPLEX ARRAY OF INTERSECTING
BOUNDARIES AND MESOSCALE CIRCULATIONS. AS ONE MESOLOW WAS LIFTING
NEWD TOWARD NERN KS TRAILING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THIS CIRCULATION
HAS CAUGHT UP TO AND MERGED WITH AN OUTFLOW FROM LEADING CONVECTIVE
LINE NOW MOVING INTO ERN KS. THESE MERGED BOUNDARIES APPEAR TO BE
PROVIDING A MESOSCALE FOCUS FOR RENEWED CONVECTIVE INTENSIFICATION
FROM SEDGWICK COUNTY SWD INTO HARPER COUNTY KS AT THIS TIME...WITH
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MOVING EAST FROM ALFALFA INTO GRANT COUNTY
OK. AIRMASS TO THE EAST OF THE NEW STORM COMPLEX WAS VERY UNSTABLE
AND...COUPLED WITH FAVORABLE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SRN PLAINS
UPPER TROUGH AND MODEST LOW LEVEL JET...EXPECT DAMAGING WIND AND
HAIL THREAT TO SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF SEVERE TSTM WATCH
556 THROUGH 09Z. IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT ANOTHER WATCH WILL BE
NEEDED TO THE EAST OF WATCH 556 IN WITHIN 1-2 HOURS.

..CARBIN.. 07/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

36219517 36680048 37669886 38319701 38849675 38669504 

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