[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 050617
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050616 
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-050745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1513
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0116 AM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB....WRN IA...NERN KS...NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 555...557...

VALID 050616Z - 050745Z

IT APPEARS SEVERE TSTM WATCHES 555 AND 557 WILL NEED TO BE REPLACED
WITH A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH COVERING SECTIONS OF ERN NEB/WRN
IA...NERN KS AND NWRN MO.

LARGE ARC OF OUTFLOW IN ADVANCE OF DEEP CONVECTIVELY INDUCED COLD
POOL AND STRATIFORM RAIN AREA CONTINUES DEVELOPING NEWD TOWARD THE
MO RIVER VALLEY AREA THIS MORNING. LATEST TRACK TAKES DEEP
CONVECTION NEWD AT 35-40KT ACROSS ERN NEB AND INTO WRN IA THROUGH
09Z. AN AXIS OF STRONG INSTABILITY REMAINS FOCUSED ALONG SYNOPTIC
BOUNDARY BISECTING IA...AS WELL AS AHEAD OF NRN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NOW
MOVING INTO NERN NEB. GIVEN FAST NEWD COLD POOL MOTION AND FCST OF
STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL FLOW AS UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES EWD
FROM THE HIGH PLAINS...CONVECTION SHOULD OCCASIONALLY REACH SEVERE
LEVELS WITH HIGH WIND AND HAIL HAZARD SPREADING NEWD INTO EARLY
MORNING.

..CARBIN.. 07/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...

39089563 40389749 40849825 41399886 42799688 42989494
41909327 

WWWW