[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 280308
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280306 
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-280400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2138
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1006 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL KS INTO WRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 794...

VALID 280306Z - 280400Z

ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING AND WW
794 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 04Z.

A PROGRESSIVE INCREASE IN COLD POOL PRODUCTION HAS BEEN NOTED OVER
THE PAST HOUR OR SO WITH ONGOING STORM CLUSTERS SE OF ICT AND FROM
SW OF END TO NEAR CSM. THIS IN CONJUNCTION WITH COOLING/COLLAPSE OF
BOUNDARY-LAYER AND RESULTANT DECREASE IN INSTABILITY SUGGEST THAT
OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS DIMINISHING. THOUGH AN ISOLATED
STRONG WIND GUST OR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH
THE MOST INTENSE CELLS BEYOND 04Z...A REPLACEMENT WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

..MEAD.. 08/28/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...LUB...

34430004 35939892 37689716 38089653 38009552 34469845 

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