[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 271712
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271710 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-271945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2131
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN MI...NWRN OH...NRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 271710Z - 271945Z

SCATTERED STRONG TO ISOLD SEVERE TSTMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF
IND...NWRN OH...AND EXTREME SERN MI OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN POORLY ORGANIZED...
GREATER SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES MAY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT MOVING INTO
LOWER MI LATER TODAY.

BAND OF LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE...APPARENTLY LINKED TO TRAILING PORTION
OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS LWR MI AND ONTARIO...HAS PROMPTED
TSTMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF IND AND NWRN OH LAST HOUR.
EXPECT RELATIVELY WEAK CAP AND INCREASING INSTABILITY TO RESULT IN
ADDITIONAL STORMS OVER THESE AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. MARGINAL WLY FLOW
THROUGH THE TROPOSPHERE AND WARM MID LEVEL TEMPS SHOULD PRECLUDE
MORE ORGANIZED STORMS AND HAIL THREAT. HOWEVER...A FEW OF THE MORE
INTENSE PULSE OR MULTICELL UPDRAFTS MIGHT PRODUCE STRONG DOWNBURST
WINDS. AT THIS TIME A WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR THIS CONVECTION.

..CARBIN.. 08/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...IND...

41978369 41428260 40188555 40598681 41358521 

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