[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 271425
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271424 
ILZ000-MOZ000-271600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2130
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0924 AM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...MO AND WRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 271424Z - 271600Z

A SEVERE TSTM WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF CNTRL MO AND WRN
IL SHORTLY.

TSTMS CONTINUE TO BACKBUILD INTO INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS CNTRL MO
THIS MORNING WITH INTENSITY GRADUALLY INCREASING PER LATEST VIL
COMPOSITE LOOP. THIS TREND COULD CONTINUE AS FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES
SLOWLY SEWD INTO INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND SHORT WAVE TROUGH
APPROACHES THE REGION LATER TODAY. CURRENT ACTIVITY IS LIKELY
ELEVATED AND SHOULD POSE PRIMARILY A MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL THEREAT.
HOWEVER...A FEW MORE HOURS OF HEATING WILL RESULT IN SURFACE-BASED
STORMS WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

..CARBIN.. 08/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...

39469344 39819003 38818944 37889281 37939441 39029444 

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