[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 270937
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270936 
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-271100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2128
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0436 AM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IL / NWRN IN / SRN HALF OF LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 790...

VALID 270936Z - 271100Z

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES...WITH NEW WW POSSIBLY REQUIRED INTO E
CENTRAL AND SERN LOWER MI.

LATEST RADAR LOOPS SHOW BROKEN LINE OF STORMS EXTENDING FROM NRN
LOWER MI SSWWD TO SRN LK MI...AND THEN SWWD TO NERN MO / SERN IA. 
ALTHOUGH A LOW-END SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ALONG THE LENGTH OF THIS
CONVECTIVE LINE...GREATEST THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST ACROSS THE SRN
HALF OF LOWER MI ATTM. WHILE ASOS-OBSERVED PEAK WINDS HAVE REMAINED
AOB 40 KT ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF LOWER MI...SEVERAL REPORTS OF
DOWNED TREES HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FURTHER S...ALONG WITH A GUST TO 49
KT OBSERVED AT MKG /MUSKEGON MI/ AROUND 09Z.  

GIVEN THIS...AND THE FACT THAT IT APPEARS THAT KINEMATIC AND
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT ACROSS E CENTRAL AND SERN LOWER MI IS
SIMILAR TO THAT FURTHER W...THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS MAY
EXPAND EWD REQUIRING NEW WW.  WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONVECTIVE
TRENDS OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WITH REGARDS TO POSSIBLE NEW WW.

..GOSS.. 08/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...

40819079 40938928 42148742 43628628 44178532 43998291
43078239 41698354 41748444 41938551 40168780 40159156 

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