[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 122155
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122155 
NCZ000-SCZ000-122300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1978
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0455 PM CDT THU AUG 12 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN NC IN TORNADO WATCH 743

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 743...

VALID 122155Z - 122300Z

TORNADO WATCH 743 EXPIRES AT 22Z AND WILL NOT BE REISSUED. 
HOWEVER...THE FORECAST OFFICE IN WILMINGTON NC WILL LIKELY LOCALLY
EXTEND THE TORNADO WATCH FOR A FEW COUNTIES IN SERN NC FOR A COUPLE
OF HOURS.

BANDS OF TSTMS CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE ENEWD ACROSS SERN NC AND WILL
BE MOVING OFF THE COAST IN A COUPLE OF HOURS.  SURFACE WINDS BEHIND
THE LINES HAVE VEERED WEST OF INTERSTATE 40...BUT REMAIN SSELY ALONG
THE COAST FROM WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH UP INTO THE MOREHEAD CITY AREA.
ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN ISOLD TORNADO AS
THE STORMS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.

THE PRIMARY RISK OF TORNADOES...HOWEVER...SEEMS TO BE LOCATED
FARTHER TO THE NORTH ACROSS NERN NC AND SERN VA WITHIN TORNADO WATCH
745.

GIVEN THAT THE TORNADO THREAT AREA IS SMALL AND SHORT-LIVED ACROSS
SERN NC...ANOTHER WW WILL NOT BE ISSUED...BUT RATHER LOCALLY
EXTENDED BY THE WFO ILM.

..RACY.. 08/12/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...

33437912 34937794 34847615 33417826 33407889 

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