[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 122006
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122006 
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-122130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1977
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0306 PM CDT THU AUG 12 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN VA/CNTRL AND ERN NC AND ERN SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 743...745...

VALID 122006Z - 122130Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES ACROSS WW AREAS.

LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATES MESOLOW NEAR GSO WITH LOCALIZED AREA
OF PRESSURE FALLS FROM E OF GSO INTO S-CNTRL VA. SEVERAL EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS/COMMA HEAD STRUCTURES ARE BEING OBSERVED FROM THIS LOW
CENTER SEWD IN AN ARC TO NEAR FAY AND THEN SWD TO ALONG SC COAST. 
REGIONAL VWPS AHEAD OF THIS INTENSE CONVECTION CONTINUE TO INDICATE
VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH
40-50KTS OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND 0-1KM SRH VALUES OF 100-150 J/KG.

GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THROUGH 21-22Z WILL EXIST AHEAD OF
MESOLOW FROM N-CNTRL NC/S-CNTRL AND SERN VA EWD ACROSS MUCH OF ERN
NC...INCLUDING THE RALEIGH/DURHAM AREAS. IN ADDITION TO ISOLATED
TORNADOES...POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST
WITH ANY SUPERCELLS OR BOWING STRUCTURES.

..MEAD.. 08/12/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...

37658010 37647494 35297590 35347692 31907980 31898303
33188144 33228076 33578026 34297989 34837975 35437990
36218054 

WWWW