[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Wed Aug 11 20:20:06 UTC 2004


ACUS11 KWNS 112018
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112018 
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-112145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1964
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 PM CDT WED AUG 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN ME / ERN NH / ERN MA / RI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 112018Z - 112145Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR LARGE HAIL SHOULD
PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

MORE ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL MA
INTO SRN NH...TO THE E OF MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN
PROGRESS ACROSS CNTRL/ERN PARTS OF WW 738. LATEST RUC OBJECTIVE
FIELDS INDICATE THAT AIRMASS ACROSS RI AND CNTRL/ERN MA INTO ERN NH
REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG AND NO
CAP. THOUGH LOCAL VWPS DO INDICATE MODEST VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR...COMPARATIVELY STRONGER WIND FIELDS AND DYNAMIC FORCING ARE
BEING OBSERVED TO THE W IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO MID/UPPER-LEVEL JET
STREAKS MOVING INTO THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY.

AN ADDITIONAL DOWNSTREAM WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED OWING TO THE EXPECTED
ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT AND GEOGRAPHICALLY SMALL AREAL EXTENT.

..MEAD.. 08/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...

41037178 41897172 41957131 42517132 42987122 43627119
44297083 44336986 42857031 41176973 

WWWW





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