[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052206
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052206 
MTZ000-WYZ000-IDZ000-052330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1896
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0506 PM CDT THU AUG 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 712...

VALID 052206Z - 052330Z

CONTINUE WW. 

AT 22Z...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY APPROACHING GTF AREA IS
TRACKING 225/37KT. THIS CLUSTER WAS ASSOCIATED WITH 42KT SURFACE
WINDS AT HLN AT 2119Z AND LOCALIZED AREAS OF SEVERE WIND GUSTS ARE
LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. LARGE HAIL IS ALSO LIKELY
WITH STRONGER CORES. PRESENCE OF MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE
VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG SHOULD MAINTAIN SEVERE POTENTIAL THROUGH
GREAT FALLS VICINITY DURING NEXT 30 MINUTES AND THEN NEWD ACROSS
N-CENTRAL MT THROUGH 00Z. ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NERN MT LATER THIS EVENING. EXTRAPOLATION TAKES CURRENT
ACTIVITY TO NERN EDGE OF WW 712 AROUND 00Z.

..BANACOS.. 08/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...TFX...PIH...MSO...

44661327 49001411 49001021 44660957 

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