[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052144
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052144 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-052315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1895
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0444 PM CDT THU AUG 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC...SC...ERN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 711...

VALID 052144Z - 052315Z

AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE WITH A
CONVECTIVE LINE IN ERN NC. NEW CELLS MAY ALSO HAVE A SEVERE THREAT
ACROSS SC AND ERN GA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT IN PLACE FROM ERN NC EXTENDING WSWWD
INTO NRN GA. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO FUEL STRONG STORMS IN WW 711. VAD WIND
PROFILES SHOW ABOUT 30 TO 35 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR ACROSS ERN NC. THIS
COMBINED WITH STRONG LARGE-SCALE FORCING FROM AN APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE...WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WITH WIND
DAMAGE AND HAIL POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING. AREAS FARTHER SOUTH
ACROSS SC AND ERN GA CURRENTLY HAVE WEAKER FORCING AND SLIGHTLY LESS
SHEAR WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN A MORE ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT.

..BROYLES.. 08/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...FFC...

33008284 33998272 34728019 34977812 35717629 36097547
35717511 35157504 34057665 33727887 

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