[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 021910
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021910 
IDZ000-ORZ000-WAZ000-022145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1836
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0210 PM CDT MON AUG 02 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN ORE/WESTERN ID

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 021910Z - 022145Z

SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS
OF CENTRAL ORE AND SPREAD EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.  WW MAY
BE REQUIRED IN 1-2 HOURS.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS WELL-DEFINED UPPER VORT MAX OVER NORTHERN
CA.  THIS FEATURE IS BEGINNING TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD...AND WILL
AFFECT MUCH OF ORE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING HAS BEEN OCCURRING AHEAD OF SYSTEM OVER EASTERN ORE WITH
SBCAPE VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DEVELOP IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS FROM LMT TO
RDM.  STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER VERTICAL
SHEAR...AND FORCING AHEAD OF APPROACHING TROUGH WILL SUPPORT A RISK
OF ISOLATED SUPERCELLS/BOWS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

..HART.. 08/02/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MSO...BOI...OTX...PDT...MFR...

42182048 43602150 45172090 45851925 46531708 45871600
43471614 42251757 42091872 

WWWW