[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 swody2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Nov 7 05:32:41 UTC 2006


ACUS02 KWNS 070534
SWODY2
SPC AC 070532

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1132 PM CST MON NOV 06 2006

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

SERN U.S. UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE EAST AND OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BY 12Z WEDNESDAY...ATTENDANT FRONT WILL EXTEND
FROM A SURFACE LOW IN EXTREME ERN NC SWWD ALONG THE GULF STREAM AND
INTO SRN FL. REMAINING PORTIONS OF FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE DURING
MORNING. WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING WITHIN THE ZONE OF
ASCENT ALONG AND JUST E OF THIS BOUNDARY. STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL
VERTICAL WIND PROFILES WILL EXIST WITHIN THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM
SECTOR. HOWEVER...LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION WILL EXIST
BEFORE ACTIVITY MOVES OFFSHORE. OTHER CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP DURING
THE DAY FARTHER W NEAR VORT MAX WHERE STEEPER LAPSE RATES AND COLD
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST. 

ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE ONTO THE PACIFIC
NW ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED CONVECTION. STEEP 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES
AND COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ACCOMPANYING THIS FEATURE MIGHT
RESULT IN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR ISOLATED LIGHTING
STRIKES...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST.

..DIAL.. 11/07/2006








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