[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 071728
SWODY2
SPC AC 071727

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CST TUE NOV 07 2006

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MIDDLE ATLANTIC...

UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAX WILL SHIFT OFF THE CAROLINA COAST EARLY IN THE
PERIOD AS UPPER LOW SETTLES INTO NERN GA.  MAIN BAROCLINIC ZONE AND
ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE THREAT SHOULD BE WELL EAST OF THE OUTER BANKS
REGION OF NC AT 12Z...TRAILING SWWD INTO THE SRN TIP OF THE FL
PENINSULA.  HOWEVER...COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND A POCKET OF
STEEP LAPSE RATES SHOULD ENHANCE THE CONVECTIVE THREAT BENEATH THE
UPPER LOW AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CAROLINAS DURING THE DAY. 
ADDITIONALLY...THERE APPEARS TO BE AT LEAST A MARGINAL THREAT FOR
ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE WARM ADVECTION ZONE JUST
NORTH OF THE SFC LOW WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS SHOULD PROVE
COOL/STABLE.  REGARDLESS...ACTIVITY SHOULD PROVE ISOLATED AND WEAK
ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

...PACIFIC NW...

BUOYANT MARITIME AIRMASS WILL BEGIN SPREADING INLAND AS SFC FRONT
PROGRESSES ACROSS WRN WA/ORE EARLY IN THE PERIOD.  LOW TOPPED
CONVECTION AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE NOTED WITH UPPER
TROUGH AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST.  AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS DAYTIME
HEATING WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LIGHTNING WITHIN
DEEPER SHOWERS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS...AND
MAINLY CONFINED NEAR THE COAST.

..DARROW.. 11/07/2006