[SWODY2] {Spam?} SWODY2
Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2
SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Sun Mar 26 17:38:23 UTC 2006
ACUS02 KWNS 261739
SWODY2
SPC AC 261737
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1137 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2006
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW/SHORT-WAVE TROUGH INITIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY THROUGH THE
END OF THE PERIOD. ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL ALSO MOVE EWD ACROSS
THIS REGION...ACCOMPANIED BY WEAKENING COLD FRONT.
FARTHER S/SW...A WEAK SRN-STREAM TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
NWRN MEXICO TOWARD TX DURING THE AFTERNOON.
...PARTS OF THE TRANSPECOS REGION/RIO GRANDE VALLEY/CENTRAL TX...
MARGINAL DESTABILIZATION IS FORECAST ACROSS PARTS OF TX AHEAD OF SRN
STREAM TROUGH...AS DAYTIME HEATING COMBINES WITH PARTIALLY-MODIFIED
GULF MOISTURE RETURN TO YIELD 500 TO 1000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE.
THOUGH CAP SHOULD HINDER CONVECTION ACROSS DEEP S TX...SCATTERED TO
ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE TRANSPECOS REGION
AND INTO CENTRAL TX/THE HILL COUNTRY IN WEAK AXIS OF SURFACE
CONVERGENCE ALONG FRONTOLYTIC BOUNDARY.
THOUGH ONLY A SMALL/FAIRLY WEAK MID-LEVEL JET /30 TO 35 KT/ WILL
ACCOMPANY THE SRN-STREAM FEATURE...AMPLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR COULD
SUPPORT A FEW STRONGER UPDRAFTS WITH MID-LEVEL ROTATION.
THEREFORE...A LIMITED HAIL/WIND THREAT MAY EXIST -- PARTICULARLY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
OVERNIGHT...LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION N OF WEAKENING BOUNDARY MAY
SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE...THOUGH LIMITED INSTABILITY
SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY MORE THAN A VERY MARGINAL HAIL THREAT.
..GOSS.. 03/26/2006
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