[SWODY2] {Spam?} SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 221707
SWODY2
SPC AC 221706

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1106 AM CST WED MAR 22 2006

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

MODELS INDICATE THAT THE HIGHER LATITUDE BLOCKING PATTERN WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD AND BEYOND.  BUT...A STRONG
BELT OF POLAR WESTERLIES...WHICH HAS TRAVERSED THE SOUTHERN TIER OF
THE U.S...IS PROGGED TO FINALLY BEGIN SHIFTING EAST OF THE SOUTHEAST
STATES.  THE LAST IN A SERIES OF SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSES
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE INTO
CONFLUENT REGIME ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF STATES... BECOMING
INCREASINGLY SHEARED AS IT APPROACHES SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS
BY 12Z FRIDAY.

FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER IMPULSE IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT WEAK
WAVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG SURFACE FRONT NOW STALLING NEAR SOUTHERN
FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS AND THE KEYS.  IN ITS WAKE...LARGE COLD
SURFACE RIDGE...ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF EASTERN NORTH AMERICA...IS
PROGGED TO NOSE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO/THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.  THIS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY
MINIMIZE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION THROUGH
THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT...AND THE DAYS TO FOLLOW.

...FLORIDA...
MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING
SURFACE WAVE SHOULD BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
THURSDAY.  MUCH OF THIS LIKELY WILL OCCUR OFFSHORE...BUT MODELS
SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR INLAND DEVELOPMENT...WITH PROBABILITIES
INCREASING TOWARD SOUTHEAST COASTAL AREAS.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
LARGE...COLD MID-LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE LITTLE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.  THUS...POTENTIAL FOR DEEP
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT INLAND OF COASTAL AREAS DURING THIS PERIOD
APPEARS MINIMAL.  HOWEVER...IMPULSES ROTATING AROUND THE CIRCULATION
CENTER MAY MAINTAIN A RISK OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR
OFFSHORE WATERS.

..KERR.. 03/22/2006