[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 141635
SWODY2
SPC AC 141634

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1034 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW P38 10 SW DPG
10 ENE VEL 20 ESE 4FC 25 SSE PUB 20 SE LVS 25 SSE ABQ 50 SSW GNT 30
W PRC 35 S LAS 60 NW P38.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

AMPLIFIED LARGE-SCALE PATTERN IS FORECAST DURING THE DAY TWO PERIOD
WITH PRIMARY FEATURE BEING INTENSIFYING POSITIVELY-TILTED TROUGH
OVER THE ROCKIES INTO NRN MEXICO.  IN THE LOW-LEVELS...LEE
CYCLONE...INITIALLY OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS...WILL RE-DEVELOP OVER
KS WHILE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT PUSHES SEWD THROUGH THE NRN AND CNTRL
PLAINS.  SWRN EXTENSION OF THIS FRONT WILL PUSH EWD FROM THE SWRN
DESERTS INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS BY MONDAY MORNING. 

...4-CORNERS REGION...

VIGOROUS...MID-LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING ONTO THE CA COAST IS
FORECAST TO AMPLIFY OVER THE SWRN U.S. INTO NRN MEXICO OWING TO
STRONG COLD ADVECTION ON UPSTREAM SIDE OF MEAN TROUGH BASE.  THIS
MID-LEVEL COOLING COUPLED WITH DIABATIC HEATING WILL RESULT IN THE
STEEPENING OF LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AHEAD OF PACIFIC FRONT
MOVING EWD ACROSS REGION.  THIS WEAK INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH
INCREASED LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE
WILL LIKELY SUPPORT ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT
SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.

..MEAD.. 01/14/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM