[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Feb 27 05:56:02 UTC 2006


ACUS02 KWNS 270555
SWODY2
SPC AC 270553

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 PM CST SUN FEB 26 2006

VALID 281200Z - 011200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
COMPLEX UPPER TROUGH EVOLVING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST OF CA WILL
BEGIN TO EJECT NEWD TODAY...REACHING THE OR/CA COASTS BY 12Z TUE. 
THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WHILE MOVING ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/GRT BASIN TUE NIGHT.  DOWNSTREAM...POLAR VORTEX
WILL MAINTAIN CYCLONIC FLOW OVER NRN NEW ENGLAND WITH A BUILDING
UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CNTRL/ERN PARTS OF THE
CONUS. 

...CA...
SEVERAL DISTURBANCES WILL AFFECT PARTS OF CA AS THE PARENT TROUGH
MOVES ASHORE BY TUE AFTN.  POST-FRONTAL REGIME SHOULD BE FIRMLY IN
PLACE ACROSS CNTRL/NRN CA BY 18Z TUE WITH STEEPENING LOW/MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND ONSHORE FLOW.  LINGERING LOW-LEVEL MSTR WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK BUOYANCY AND LIKELY SUPPORT SCT TSTMS ACROSS
NRN/CNTRL CA TUE AFTN. ISOLD STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG ENOUGH FOR
SMALL HAIL OR GUSTY WINDS...BUT WEAKENING EFFECTIVE VERTICAL
SHEAR/LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL LIKELY KEEP THE SEVERE PROBABILITIES LOW.

..RACY.. 02/27/2006








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