[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 160551
SWODY2
SPC AC 160550

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 PM CST WED FEB 15 2006

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LARGE CLOSED
UPPER LOW ALONG/JUST OFF THE NRN CA COAST ON FRIDAY...MAINTAINING
WSWLY FLOW DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE SWRN STATES AND EAST OF THE
ROCKIES.  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NRN/CENTRAL
CA COAST...AND ALSO DEVELOPING INLAND ACROSS THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HEATING BENEATH COLD MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES /-26 TO -32C AT 500 MB/ AIDS IN STEEPENING LAPSE RATES.
MUCAPE VALUES OF 100-200 J/KG MAY BE COMMON COMBINED WITH SUFFICIENT
DEEP LAYER SHEAR...GIVEN BACKED VALLEY FLOW BENEATH INCREASING WLY
MID LEVEL WINDS...RESULTING IN A FEW LOW-TOPPED STORMS.  SMALL HAIL
BELOW SEVERE CRITERIA MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

ELSEWHERE...A FLAT RIDGE EXTENDING FROM MEXICO/TX EWD ACROSS THE
GULF COAST TO SRN ATLANTIC STATES WILL RESULT IN WARM MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES OVER THIS REGION PRECLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR DEEP
CONVECTION.

..PETERS.. 02/16/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WERE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 AND ARE NOW AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THIS TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM