[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Feb 13 06:08:32 UTC 2006


ACUS02 KWNS 130604
SWODY2
SPC AC 130603

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 AM CST MON FEB 13 2006

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPING BY THE END OF DAY 1 ACROSS THE CONUS IS
PROGGED TO EVOLVE INTO A SWLY FLOW PATTERN AS A PACIFIC TROUGH DIGS
SWD ALONG THE WEST COAST...AND A POLAR VORTEX MOVES SWD THROUGH
CENTRAL CANADA...IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT RISES OVER ERN AK/WRN CANADA.
MODELS AGREE WITH THIS LARGE SCALE PATTERN CHANGE...AND THE TRACK/
TIMING OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER ID/UT...AS IT
TRANSLATES EWD FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO SERN STATES.  IN THE LOW-
LEVELS...SURFACE HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS FL
ALLOWING FOR SLY WINDS TO RETURN MOISTURE INTO ERN PARTS OF TX/OK TO
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. ELEVATED MIXED LAYER EXTENDING EWD
ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION SHOULD NOT WEAKEN ENOUGH FOR DEEP
CONVECTION TO OCCUR EITHER OVER THE GULF OR INLAND...AS LARGE SCALE
ASCENT WITH THE SRN PLAINS TROUGH SPREADS EWD TUESDAY.

..PETERS.. 02/13/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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