[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 060546
SWODY2
SPC AC 060544

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2006

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW AAF 55 SSE MCN
35 SSE AGS 55 ESE CHS ...CONT... 55 NNE MLB 40 WSW SRQ.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

AMPLIFIED LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY TWO
PERIOD AS LONGWAVE TROUGH IS MAINTAINED ACROSS THE ERN CONUS AND REX
BLOCK PERSISTS FROM ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN SWWD TO OFF THE SRN CA/BAJA
COAST. WITHIN THE BROADER ERN U.S. TROUGH...SHORTWAVE TROUGH
INITIALLY OVER MS/AL TUESDAY MORNING WILL WEAKEN AS IT LIFTS NEWD TO
OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST BY EARLY TO MID EVENING. MEANWHILE...
UPSTREAM JET STREAKS/VORTICITY MAXIMA OVER CNTRL CANADA AND THE NRN
HIGH PLAINS WILL DIG SEWD ACROSS THE NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS.

IN THE LOW-LEVELS...A WEAK SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SERN U.S.
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP FROM THE MOUTH OF THE SAVANNAH
RIVER NEWD INTO THE WRN ATLANTIC WHILE TRAILING COLD FRONT PUSHES
SEWD THROUGH FL.  IN IT/S WAKE...A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD SWD THROUGH THE PLAINS.

...SRN GA/FL...

CLUSTERS OF TSTMS OR A CONVECTIVE LINE MAY BE IN PROGRESS INITIALLY
TUESDAY MORNING ALONG COLD FRONT FROM SRN GA INTO THE FL
PNHDL...LARGELY BEING DRIVEN BY FORCING FOR ASCENT AND RESULTANT
WEAK DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH. 
CURRENTLY...IT APPEARS THAT LIMITED BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE AND NEAR
MOIST ADIABATIC LOW AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY
AND ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. 

STORMS MAY TEND TO DECREASE WITH TIME TUESDAY OVER THE NRN AND CNTRL
FL PENINSULA AS LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WEAKENS ALONG COLD FRONT AND
THE STRONGER LARGE-SCALE FORCING SHIFTS NE OF THE REGION.

..MEAD.. 02/06/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM