[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 swody2 at goshenarc.org
Wed Dec 6 17:20:01 UTC 2006


ACUS02 KWNS 061721
SWODY2
SPC AC 061719

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CST WED DEC 06 2006

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GREAT LAKES...

LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES ACROSS LAKE ERIE DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD.  LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS EL LEVELS WILL BE AT LEAST 3KM DEEP WITH MOIST
CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS OVER WARMER LAKE WATERS.  FOR THIS REASON
IT APPEARS LIGHTNING WILL BE NOTED WITH STRONGER UPDRAFTS AND
HEAVIER SNOW SQUALLS...ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND OF LAKE MI THROUGH
18Z...AND ACROSS LAKE ERIE THROUGH LATE EVENING.

...ELSEWHERE...

LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL PROVE QUITE WEAK AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
PLUNGING SWD ACROSS THE SRN PENINSULA OF FL.  IT APPEARS CONVECTION
WILL PROVE WEAK AND ANY LIGHTING THAT DEVELOPS SHOULD BE EXTREMELY
ISOLATED...AND MAINLY OFFSHORE.

..DARROW.. 12/06/2006








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