[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 080516
SWODY2
SPC AC 080515

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 AM CDT SAT APR 08 2006

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL...

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA...

CONVECTIVELY-ACTIVE COLD FRONT WILL BE FORCED SWD ACROSS THE CNTRL
FL PENINSULA EARLY IN THE DAY2 PERIOD. THIS BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE
ITS SWD MOVEMENT DURING THE DAY AS STRONG UPPER SHORTWAVE IS
ABSORBED WITHIN LONG WAVE TROUGH...THEN SHEARS SW-NE ACROSS THE SRN
PENINSULA.  IT APPEARS BOUNDARY LAYER WILL HEAT RAPIDLY SOUTH OF THE
WIND SHIFT AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS ALONG IT.  THIS WILL
AID DESTABILIZATION FORCING MLCAPE VALUES AOA 2000 J/KG.  WITH DEEP
SWLY SHEAR VECTORS ON THE ORDER OF 30-35KT...IT APPEARS SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE.  NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY
ALONG/SOUTH OF ADVANCING COLD FRONT WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT SEEMINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  OF
COURSE...ANY SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS WOULD AID LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND
ENHANCE STORM ROTATION FOR POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADOES.  ACTIVITY
SHOULD SPREAD OFF THE SRN TIP OF FL BY EARLY EVENING.

...NWRN U.S...

ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN
SUNDAY.  COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND STEEPENING LAPSE RATES WILL
AID SCATTERED CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL...MAINLY INLAND DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

..DARROW.. 04/08/2006