[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 090607
SWODY2
SPC AC 090606

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0106 AM CDT FRI SEP 09 2005

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 WSW TUS 20 E GBN
50 SE PRC 65 NNE INW 60 SW CEZ 10 ESE 4BL 35 NNE CNY 30 NE VEL 10 NW
EVW 50 N DPG 45 SSW EKO 20 SSW OWY TWF 25 WNW SUN 45 N BOI 50 SE DLS
15 NNW MFR 45 N 4BK ...CONT... 140 NE CMX 55 WSW IWD 35 NNE RWF 40
ESE MHN 10 NNE AKO COS 20 NW RTN 20 NE ROW 25 W INK 20 WSW FST 40
NNE P07 55 W JCT 50 SSE BWD 10 N TPL 45 E CLL 20 S BPT ...CONT... 30
SSE CTY 20 ESE JAX.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
HIGH AMPLITUDE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WILL FEATURE A STRONG
POSITIVE TILT TROUGH PERSISTING OVER THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST/NRN
GREAT BASIN AND NRN ROCKIES AND A LARGE DOWNSTREAM RIDGE FROM TX AND
THE GULF COAST TO THE GREAT LAKES. AN EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WITHIN THE LARGE-SCALE WRN TROUGH WILL TRACK NEWD FROM THE NRN
PLAINS INTO MANITOBA AND ONTARIO SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
PRIMARY SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SHORT WAVE WILL SPREAD
RAPIDLY NEWD INTO ONTARIO AS A TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES SEWD INTO
THE NRN PLAINS.

...NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY...
GIVEN PERSISTENCE OF DEEP SLY FLOW ACROSS THE CNTRL AND NRN PLAINS
AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING WRN TROUGH EXPECT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MODEST 
INSTABILITY WITHIN PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS FROM THE ERN DAKOTAS TO MN
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT A
STRONG CAP WILL LIKELY INHIBIT STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION.  ADDITIONALLY...STRONGEST LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE SHORT WAVE WILL BE MOVING INTO CANADA AND THIS SHOULD RESULT IN
GENERALLY WEAK CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT HEATING AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT WITHIN WARM
CONVEYOR BELT MAY LOCALLY OVERCOME INHIBITION TO SUPPORT ISOLATED
TSTMS ON THE EDGE OF THE CAP OVER PARTS OF ERN DAKOTAS/NRN MN BY
LATE IN THE DAY. THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THIS AREA WOULD
FAVOR LARGE HAIL IF STORMS CAN DEVELOP. ONLY LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES ARE WARRANTED IN THIS OUTLOOK DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES
REGARDING STORM DEVELOPMENT.

..CARBIN.. 09/09/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.