[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Fri Oct 28 17:30:12 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 281724
SWODY2
SPC AC 281723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1223 PM CDT FRI OCT 28 2005

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W ELP 60 ENE SOW
20 S U28 40 ENE ELY OWY 25 E MYL 15 E HLN 60 SW GGW GDV 20 S Y22 45
NNW VTN 40 SSW 9V9 30 WNW ATY 40 NNW ELO ...CONT... 90 NE MQT 40 NNE
RHI 10 ESE DSM 30 ESE OJC 15 S CQB 25 WNW FSI BGS 40 WNW DRT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WRN U.S. IS FORECAST TO DEAMPLIFY AS IT
SHIFTS EWD INTO THE PLAINS STATES THIS PERIOD. ASSOCIATED SURFACE
FRONT IS LIKEWISE FORECAST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE NRN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS WHILE WEAKENING WITH TIME.  WITH LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS...CONVECTIVE THREAT WILL
REMAIN CONFINED TO THE WRN HALF OF THE CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS...
COOLING TEMPERATURES/STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ALOFT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
MARGINAL INSTABILITY ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE WRN AND INTO THE
CENTRAL CONUS THIS PERIOD...AS LARGE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EWD. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
ROCKIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON -- WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
POSSIBLE ALONG WEAK FRONT OVER THE PLAINS FROM AFTERNOON ONWARD. 
HOWEVER...WITH INSTABILITY FORECAST TO BE LIMITED...STORMS SHOULD
REMAIN GENERALLY WEAK/DISORGANIZED.

..GOSS.. 10/28/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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