[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Wed Nov 30 17:28:43 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 301725
SWODY2
SPC AC 301724

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 AM CST WED NOV 30 2005

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW HQM 25 W PDX
30 SE EUG 45 SW MFR 55 W EKA.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PACIFIC NW...

WELL DEFINED SPEED MAX WILL APPROACH SW ORE DURING THE DAY THURSDAY
AS UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE PACIFIC NW COAST.  THIS
FEATURE WILL FORCE A COLD FRONT INLAND AROUND NOON WITH POST FRONTAL
COLD ADVECTION EXPECTED TO STEEPEN LAPSE RATES SUFFICIENTLY FOR SCT
CONVECTION.  IT APPEARS A FEW SHOWERS MAY DEEPEN ENOUGH NEAR THE
MARINE LAYER FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER MUCH OF THIS
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN TOO SHALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE.

...NWRN GULF OF MEXICO...

WEAK WARM ADVECTION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THIS PROCESS WILL ALLOW SLOWLY MODIFYING AIRMASS
OVER THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO TO GRADUALLY RETURN NWD TOWARD THE TX/LA
COAST. IN THE ABSENCE OF MEANINGFUL LARGE SCALE ASCENT...IT APPEARS
AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION WILL PROVE WEAKER THAN THE NAM SUGGESTS
ACROSS THIS REGION.  RESULTANT THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES MOST LIKELY
WILL NOT BE THAT SUPPORTIVE OF DEEP CONVECTION.

..DARROW.. 11/30/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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