[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Nov 29 17:24:22 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 291719
SWODY2
SPC AC 291718

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1118 AM CST TUE NOV 29 2005

VALID 301200Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE JFK 15 N BAF
10 NNW LCI 15 WSW AUG 50 SSW BHB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

SECONDARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT NEWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY INTO
NEW ENGLAND DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD.  THIS FEATURE WILL UNDOUBTEDLY
AID ASCENT ALONG ADVANCING FRONTAL ZONE AS SUSTAINED WARM ADVECTION
ALLOWS HIGHER MOISTURE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS/VA TO ADVECT NWD. 
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL BE NOTED AHEAD OF COLD FRONT WITH
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN
SUFFICIENTLY FOR POTENTIAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE PARCELS LIFTED NEAR 850MB MAY YIELD A FEW HUNDRED J/KG
MUCAPE.  IT APPEARS CLOUD TOPS COULD ATTAIN LEVELS FAVORABLE FOR
LIGHTNING PRODUCTION THUS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE
FORECAST FOR SRN NEW ENGLAND.

..DARROW.. 11/29/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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