[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Wed Nov 16 05:54:29 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 160549
SWODY2
SPC AC 160548

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CST TUE NOV 15 2005

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER ERN CONUS...AND RIDGE INVOF PACIFIC COAST
...WILL CHARACTERIZE UPPER AIR PATTERN THROUGH PERIOD. INTENSE SFC
COLD FRONT -- NOW SWEEPING EWD ACROSS OH/TN VALLEYS AND SEWD INTO
NWRN GULF -- SHOULD MOVE SEWD THROUGH PENINSULAR FL BY ABOUT 18/00Z.


AHEAD OF FRONT...EXPECT FLOW TO SHIFT TO ELY/ENELY IN BOUNDARY LAYER
BY 17/12Z.  MEANWHILE...IN ABSENCE OF LARGE SCALE
ASCENT...RELATIVELY STABLE MIDLEVEL AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER
FL.  FCST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THIS WILL LIMIT OVERALL BUOYANCY AND
KEEP CAPE CONFINED TO LAYERS BELOW THOSE NEEDED FOR OPTIMAL ICE
FORMATION AND CHARGE SEPARATION.  THERFORE...TSTM PROBABILITIES
APPEAR TOO LOW FOR OUTLOOK ATTM.

..EDWARDS.. 11/16/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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