[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 311702
SWODY2
SPC AC 311701

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1201 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2005

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW DRT 35 W TPL 10
W PBF 50 N JKL 25 E PKB 20 W PIT 40 E TOL 20 SW AZO 40 W MMO 20 N
SZL 25 SW EMP 20 NE HUT 20 S CNK 10 W BIE 25 SSE RST 10 WNW EAU 60 S
DLH 50 N BRD 45 SSW GFK 45 NE MBG 30 SSE PIR 10 W MCK 55 N CAO 15 NW
ONM 20 SW DUG ...CONT... CZZ 30 NNW EDW 45 SSW TVL 35 ENE MHS 30 SSE
OLM 20 E CLM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE PACIFIC NW TONIGHT AND
MONDAY PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR SCATTERED STORMS ACROSS THE REGION. 
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY INITIATE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON IN THE NRN
ROCKIES AND NEAR A SFC TROUGH ACROSS ERN MT EXTENDING SWD INTO ERN
WY AND WRN NEB. COLD AIR ADVECTION AT MID-LEVELS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER-TROUGH SHOULD HELP STEEPEN LAPSE RATES DURING THE DAY. THIS
COMBINED WITH 30 TO 40 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AS SHOWN BY FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGESTS A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WILL EXIST WITH THE
STRONGER CELLS. HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
SEVERE THREAT BRIEF AND CONCENTRATED NEAR OR JUST AFTER PEAK
HEATING.

...NORTHEAST...
AN UPPER-TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NERN US MONDAY PROVIDING
SUPPORT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER
SHOULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WITH STORMS
INITIATING IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND SPREADING ESEWD ACROSS THE
REGION. SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S F SHOULD RESULT IN POCKETS OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW 30 TO 40
KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR SUGGESTING A SEVERE MULTICELL THREAT MAY EXIST
NEAR POCKETS OF LOCALLY HIGHER INSTABILITY. ANY SEVERE THREAT WILL
LIKELY BE BRIEF AND BE CONCENTRATED NEAR OR JUST AFTER PEAK HEATING.

..BROYLES.. 07/31/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.