[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 061615
SWODY2
SPC AC 061614

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1014 AM CST SUN FEB 06 2005

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE ENV 35 WSW OGD
20 ESE EVW 55 W CAG 25 WNW MTJ 35 NNE 4BL 25 NNW U17 55 WNW MLF 15
ESE ENV.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW PSX 45 WNW VCT
AUS TPL 45 ENE DAL 15 SSE PGO HRO 55 E VIH 10 WSW EVV 30 SSW HSV 40
E MEI 25 SSE HUM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MID-SOUTH...
MID-LEVEL WAVE OVER NRN MEXICO AT MID-DAY SUNDAY WILL WEAKEN AND
MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND INTO THE MID-SOUTH EARLY MONDAY.
THIS WILL LIKELY BE SUPPORTING A CORRIDOR OF RAIN/ISOLD EMBEDDED
TSTMS FROM E TX NEWD INTO THE MID-SOUTH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. 
INITIALLY...TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES WILL NOT BE CONDUCIVE FOR
WIDESPREAD OR VIGOROUS TSTMS.

IMPULSE NEARING SAN DIEGO ATTM WILL TURN EWD AND REACH THE SRN
PLAINS AND MID-SOUTH MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH WEAK LARGE SCALE HEIGHT
FALLS. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD STEEPEN GRADUALLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AS THIS WAVE MOVES CLOSER. WEAK
RETURN OF MODIFIED GULF MOISTURE BENEATH THESE LAPSE RATES MAY
CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING THERMAL BUOYANCY DURING THE AFTERNOON JUST
AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT AND A FEW TSTMS MAY DEVELOP. 
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED TSTMS...THOUGH
INSTABILITY WILL BE MINIMAL.  A COUPLE OF STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL
HAIL/GUSTY WINDS...SUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN THE FIVE PERCENT SEVERE
PROBABILISTIC THREAT.

...ERN GREAT BASIN...
UPPER LOW VCNTY WA COAST WILL DROP SEWD TOWARD THE GREAT BASIN
TONIGHT AND MONDAY.  COMBO OF OROGRAPHICS...WEAK BUOYANCY AND LARGE
SCALE ASCENT MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLD LIGHTNING ACROSS THE ERN
GREAT BASIN REGION...PRIMARILY MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

..RACY.. 02/06/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.