[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 081717
SWODY2
SPC AC 081716

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1216 PM CDT FRI APR 08 2005

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW
RSL 45 SSW HLC 35 WSW HLC 15 SSE MCK 30 NW GRI 30 NNE OFK 30 WNW OTG
30 WSW MKT 20 NNE MCW 35 WSW ALO 20 SE DSM 15 NE STJ 30 E SLN 15 SSW
RSL.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE
DVL 45 NW GFK 45 SW GFK 20 NE JMS 45 ENE BIS 40 E ISN 55 N ISN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE ELO 45 SW IWD
30 NNW DBQ 35 E IRK 25 SW SZL 25 N PNC 25 SW DHT 35 N SOW PRC 40 NW
IGM 35 SSW P38 60 E ELY 55 SSE TWF 30 N SUN 20 ESE 27U 15 SE DLN WRL
50 WSW RAP 30 NE RAP 30 SSW Y22 10 WSW SDY 70 NNE OLF.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF ND...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL
PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST...

...NRN PLAINS...
A WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE ROCKIES BY THE
DAY 2 PERIOD AS AN UPPER-LOW EMBEDDED IN THE TROUGH CLOSES OFF OVER
THE NRN PLAINS. STRONG ASCENT WITH THE UPPER-LOW SHOULD SUPPORT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS ND SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE
MOST WIDESPREAD EAST AND NORTH OF A SFC LOW THAT IS FORECAST TO BE
IN THE VICINITY OF NWRN ND. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR THIS AREA BY 00Z
SUN SHOW A RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER. HOWEVER...THE STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL FORCING COMBINED WITH COLD TEMPS ALOFT AND STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD RESULT IN HAIL POTENTIAL WITH THE
STRONGER CELLS. THE STORMS SHOULD TRACK NNEWD ACROSS ND DURING THE
AFTERNOON REACHING SRN CANADA BY THE EVENING HOURS.

...CNTRL PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST...
A COLD FRONT WILL ORGANIZE AND MOVE SWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS WITH A
DRYLINE IN PLACE FROM ERN NEB EXTENDING SSWWD INTO CNTRL KS. SFC
DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S F AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE ALONG WITH SFC HEATING
MAY INITIATE ISOLATED STORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN NEB OR
NCNTRL KS. STORM COVERAGE SHOULD EXPAND AFTER DARK AS LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT INCREASES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THE
CONVECTION SHOULD ORGANIZE ALONG THE FRONT AND EXPAND NNEWD INTO
SERN NEB AND IA. A NNEWD STORM MOTION SHOWN BY FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGESTS THE CONVECTION WOULD QUICKLY BECOMING ELEVATED BEHIND THE
FRONT. IN ADDITION...06Z FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WITH SUFFICIENT ELEVATED INSTABILITY FOR SEVERE STORMS. THE
MAIN THREAT WILL LIKELY BE HAIL DUE TO THE STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND ELEVATED NATURE OF THE STORMS.

..BROYLES.. 04/08/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.