[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 250726
SWODY2
SPC AC 250724

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CDT SAT SEP 25 2004

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW
CTY 45 WNW AYS 45 SE AGS 35 SW CRE ...CONT... 20 SSE PBI 35 E FMY 10
SSW SRQ.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE FHU 10 WNW SOW
15 N DRO 60 E GUC 20 SE LIC 50 ENE LAA 25 ENE LBL 30 E CSM 15 S DUA
10 ENE TYR 25 SSW LFK 20 ENE GLS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S TLH 15 NNE ABY
45 NW AGS 45 SE CLT 15 SW HSE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CMX 15 SW IWD 65 ENE
STC 35 W AXN 60 NNE ABR 45 SE DVL 55 W RRT.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SE ATLANTIC
COAST....

...SYNOPSIS...
ASIDE FROM HURRICANE JEANNE...THE PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS WILL
CONSIST OF THE MAIN BELT OF WLYS NEAR AND N OF THE CANADIAN BORDER. 
AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD AND AMPLIFY
OVER ONTARIO LATE IN THE PERIOD WHILE AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE DAKOTAS/MN.  THE NWD RETURN OF RESIDUAL
MOISTURE IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT...AIDED BY SOME SURFACE
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION...MAY RESULT IN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM ERN ND TO NRN MN DURING THE EVENING. 
FARTHER S...A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE SRN NM/FAR
W TX AREA.  LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW AND BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN
THE 50S ACROSS NM AND 60S ACROSS CENTRAL/W TX SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN A BROADER RAIN AREA.  ANY SEVERE THREAT WILL BE
LIMITED BY THE CUMULATIVE EFFECTS OF CONVECTION THE PREVIOUS FEW
DAYS...AS WELL AS BY WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR.

...SE ATLANTIC COAST...
HURRICANE JEANNE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT ALONG THE E
COAST OF FL...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE N IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA SUNDAY /SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS/.  AS THE
HURRICANE CORE MOVES INLAND...THE REGION OF GREATER INSTABILITY AND
VERTICAL SHEAR N THROUGH E OF THE CENTER WILL REACH THE FL
COAST...SUPPORTING THE THREAT FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS/TORNADOES.

..THOMPSON.. 09/25/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.