[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 161710
SWODY2
SPC AC 161706

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1206 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW
TYS TRI 25 NW GSO 15 E RDU 30 S FAY 40 NNW SSI 30 WNW AYS 20 NW ABY
10 SSW LGC 20 N RMG 35 SSW TYS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW CTB 15 WNW MSO
25 ENE BKE 30 N LMT 45 SSW OTH.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW ELO BRD 25 S
STC 25 E MKT 35 SW ALO 40 S IRK 25 SSW OJC CNK BBW 30 W BKX 55 SSE
FAR 75 N GFK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N MLB FMY
...CONT... 10 NE GPT LUL UOX OWB 10 ENE CAK 15 ENE ELM BML 10 NNE
CAR.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SERN
CONUS...

...SYNOPSIS...
MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST THIS PERIOD WILL BE THE REMNANTS OF
IVAN...FORECAST OVER SERN TN / NERN AL / NWRN GA AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD.  LOW IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EWD INTO THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THE
DAY...ALONG WITH ASSOCIATED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

ELSEWHERE...FAIRLY ZONAL PATTERN ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS AT THE
START OF THE PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY WITH TIME AS STRONG UPPER
LOW OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST MOVES SEWD TOWARD THE PAC NW. 
THIS WILL RESULT IN HEIGHT FALLS OVER THE WEST AND RISES DOWNSTREAM
ACROSS THE PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...THE SOUTHEAST...
LARGE AREA OF LIMITED INSTABILITY BUT FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS
FORECAST ACROSS GA / THE CAROLINAS AND ADJACENT AREAS THIS PERIOD --
WITHIN NRN AND ERN QUADRANTS OF IVAN'S CIRCULATION.  VERY MOIST
LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS AND 35 TO 50 KT FLOW PERSISTING AT LOWER LEVELS
ACCORDING TO LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A CONTINUED THREAT FOR
MINI SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.  THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH W OF
THE APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS LOW MOVES EWD...BUT IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF GA AND THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THE
END OF THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 09/16/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.