[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Nov 30 17:15:43 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 301712
SWODY2
SPC AC 301711

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CST TUE NOV 30 2004

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE OAJ 35 NNW RWI
30 SE CHO 30 WNW BWI 30 E CXY 20 WNW TTN 20 NE ACY.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MIDDLE ATLANTIC...

STRONG UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT ACROSS THE OH VALLEY INTO
SRN NEW ENGLAND BY LATE AFTERNOON ALLOWING SFC COLD FRONT TO ADVANCE
RAPIDLY OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD.  FORECAST
PROFILES DO NOT LOOK REAL FAVORABLE FOR DEEP CONVECTION GIVEN THE
MARGINAL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK INSTABILITY.  DESPITE A NARROW AXIS OF
MOISTURE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS INTO VA...BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE MAY NOT SUPPORT SFC-BASED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. 
EVEN SO...INTENSE MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND FOCUSED ZONE OF ASCENT
MAY ALLOW A FEW ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THE FIRST 06HR OF
THE PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 11/30/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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