[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Nov 29 17:31:23 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 291731
SWODY2
SPC AC 291730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CST MON NOV 29 2004

VALID 301200Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW LRD SAT 15 NW
ACT 25 SE DUA 35 ESE FYV 30 N POF 30 SW BMG 40 NE FDY 35 SW ERI 25
ENE PSB 25 NNW BWI 40 ENE DAN 30 ENE AGS 10 WSW AQQ.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GULF COAST...

INTENSE UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL LIFT NEWD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY
INTO THE OH VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD AS SPEED MAX WELL IN EXCESS OF
100KT EJECTS DOWNSTREAM.  VERY STRONG HEIGHT FALLS WILL PRECEDE THIS
FEATURE...ALTHOUGH ONLY PARTIALLY INFLUENCING THE NRN GULF COAST
STATES WITH WEAKER ZONE OF ASCENT.  IT APPEARS CONVECTION WILL
DEVELOP ALONG/BEHIND THE TRAILING COLD FRONT FROM NRN MS...SWWD INTO
SERN TX.  THIS ACTIVITY MAY TEND TO BE POST-FRONTAL AND ELEVATED IN
NATURE DUE TO THE INHIBITION AND WEAK LAPSE RATES ALONG THIS ZONE. 
DESPITE THE RETURN OF MODIFIED MARITIME AIRMASS INTO THIS
REGION...MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL ULTIMATELY LIMIT THE OVERALL
SEVERE THREAT EVEN WITHIN THE STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.  GUSTY
WINDS MAY BE THE GREATEST THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT CAN ROOT JUST
OFF THE SURFACE.

..DARROW.. 11/29/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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