[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Wed Dec 29 17:25:01 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 291724
SWODY2
SPC AC 291723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CST WED DEC 29 2004

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N CID 40 SSE CWA
30 NNE PLN 60 ENE APN 70 NNE MTC 50 SSW JXN 25 WSW MTO 40 SSE UIN 40
SW BRL 15 N CID.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL LOW NOW MOVING INTO THE WRN STATES WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS EJECTING NEWD INTO THE
PLAINS STATES THROUGH FRI.  ONE SUCH IMPULSE...APPROACHING THE CNTRL
CA COAST ATTM...WILL QUICKLY TRANSLATE EWD TO THE FOUR CORNERS BY
12Z THU...THE CORN BELT 00Z FRI AND TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY 12Z
FRI.  AT THE SURFACE...LEE LOW WILL INTENSIFY ACROSS THE DAKOTAS
EARLY THU AND MOVE EWD TO LKSUP BY THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY. 
ATTACHED LEE TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND REACH A
MI-NW IND-MO LINE BY 12Z/31.  A FEW TSTMS MAY DEVELOP VCNTY THIS
TROUGH OVERNIGHT THU.

...MIDWEST...
PRE-TROUGH WARM SECTOR WILL GRADUALLY MOISTEN OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...OWING TO INCREASING SLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
UPPER SYSTEM.  QUALITY OF MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...THOUGH...AS
GULF AIR MASS WILL ONLY BE PARTIALLY MODIFIED. AS A RESULT...
INSTABILITY WILL BE MEAGER AND PROSPECTS FOR SURFACE-BASED STORMS
WILL BE LOW DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.

AS STRONG HEIGHT FALLS/STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER TROUGH BEGIN TO SPREAD EWD THURSDAY NIGHT...WEAK ELEVATED
INSTABILITY/UVV MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW TSTMS THURSDAY NIGHT
FROM NRN IL-SRN WI EWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES.  TSTMS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE SEVERE...THOUGH WITH COOL THERMODYNAMICS PROFILES...SMALL HAIL
MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

..RACY.. 12/29/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








More information about the SwoDy2 mailing list