[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 241734
SWODY2
SPC AC 241733

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 AM CST FRI DEC 24 2004

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW PIE 20 SE DAB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTH FL...
A STALLED FRONT OVER SOUTH FL WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY
AS AN UPPER-LOW APPROACHES QUICKLY FROM THE WEST. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
ADVECTION WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY AS A SFC LOW
ORGANIZES AND MOVES EWD ACROSS THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS COMBINED
WITH STRONG CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE AND ASCENT AHEAD OF
THE TROUGH WILL AID STORM DEVELOPMENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STORM
COVERAGE SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES THE
REGION SATURDAY EVENING.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR 00Z SUNDAY ACROSS SOUTH FL SHOW VERY STRONG
DEEP SHEAR PROFILES. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A FAST STORM MOVEMENT AND
A FEW ORGANIZED CELLS. THE SFC LOW WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS THE
PENINSULA DURING THE EVENING HOURS WHICH WILL PULL SFC DEWPOINTS
FROM AROUND 70 F NWD. THIS COMBINED WITH LOW-LEVEL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
WILL RESULT IN A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT. IN ADDITION...STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL CREATE A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL.
HOWEVER...WARM AIR ALOFT AND RELATIVELY WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP
THE SEVERE POTENTIAL VERY ISOLATED.

..BROYLES.. 12/24/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.