[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Thu Dec 2 16:31:10 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 021629
SWODY2
SPC AC 021628

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
ISSUED BY AFWA OFFUTT AIR FORCE BASE BELLEVUE NE
1028 AM CST THU DEC 02 2004

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

MODELS REVEAL A WEAK SHORTWAVE TRANSITIONING IN THE UPPER LEVELS
ACROSS THE NRN MS AND OHIO VALLEY. THOUGH SOME SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR
ADVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM...INSTABILITY
WILL REMAIN WEAK WITH NOT MUCH REFLECTION IN THE LOW LEVELS.

NRN MEXICO WILL BE THE BEST AREA FOR POSSIBLE CONVECTION.  THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WILL BE SLIGHTLY DIFFLUENT OVER THE REGION. WARM MOIST
AIR WILL FLOW FROM THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA INTO THE LOW LEVELS OVER
THE REGION ENHANCING LAPSE RATES GENERATING POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. SEVERE PARAMETERS ARE NOT EXPECTED...HOWEVER ISOLATED
GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY MIGRATE NORTH OVER THE UPPER RIO GRAND
VALLEY INTO SRN NEW MEXICO AND EXTREME SW TX DURING FRIDAY NIGHT.

..AFWA.. 12/02/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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