[SWODY1] SWODY1
Severe Weather Outlook Day 1
swody1 at goshenarc.org
Sun Jan 21 19:47:23 UTC 2007
ACUS01 KWNS 211952
SWODY1
SPC AC 211949
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0149 PM CST SUN JAN 21 2007
VALID 212000Z - 221200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST...
A BAND OF RELATIVELY SHALLOW CONVECTION IS ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON
FROM SERN MS INTO FAR SERN LA...FOCUSED AHEAD OF WEAK SURFACE LOW
NOW OVER S-CNTRL MS AND ATTENDANT FRONT/CONFLUENCE LINE STRETCHING
SWD THROUGH SERN LA. MORE RECENT CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OFF THE
COAST OF THE FL PNHDL...NEAR AND TO THE S OF WARM FRONT SLOWLY
LIFTING NWD.
12Z OBSERVED AND CURRENT RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT
MID-TROPOSPHERE IS RATHER WARM RELATIVE TO BOUNDARY LAYER
TEMPERATURE/MOISTURE PROFILES WITH RESULTING POOR LAPSE RATES AND
QUITE WEAK CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY. AS SUCH...EXPECT THAT MAJORITY
OF CONVECTION WILL REMAIN TOO SHALLOW TO SUPPORT CHARGE
SEPARATION/LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO SUGGEST THAT
SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTENING AND MID-LEVEL COOLING MAY OCCUR
OVERNIGHT TO SUPPORT AN INCREASING THREAT OF ISOLATED TSTMS...MAINLY
ACROSS THE FL PNHDL. THEREFORE...GENERAL THUNDER LINE HAS BEEN
MAINTAINED.
..MEAD.. 01/21/2007
More information about the SwoDy1
mailing list