[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Nov 9 00:50:35 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 090052
SWODY1
SPC AC 090050

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 PM CST WED NOV 08 2006

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A FEW AREAS OF ACTIVE BUT ISOLATED CONVECTION MAY PERSIST OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE CONUS. FROM WEST TO EAST...THE NEXT SHORT
WAVE TROUGH MOVING ASHORE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL CONTINUE
TO ACT UPON MOIST ONSHORE LOW LEVEL FLOW TO PROMOTE A FEW SCATTERED
TSTMS FROM THE COASTAL RANGES TO THE CASCADES. FROM THE NRN SIERRA
RANGE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...LIFT AND WEAK INSTABILITY ALONG DEEP
LAYER BAROCLINIC BAND WILL PROVIDE IMPETUS FOR A FEW LIGHTNING
STRIKES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A FAST-MOVING IMPULSE EMBEDDED
WITHIN NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS SCNTRL CANADA AND THE NRN PLAINS
WILL CONTINUE TO TREK EAST ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT.
FORCING WITH THIS IMPULSE MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED CONVECTION ON THE
NOSE OF LOW LEVEL WARM CONVEYOR BELT FROM NRN WI INTO THE NRN PARTS
OF LOWER MI. FINALLY...STRONG ASCENT WITHIN DEFORMATION AXIS NORTH
OF ERN CAROLINAS CLOSED LOW MAY CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED
TSTMS ACROSS THE VA/NC CAPES TONIGHT.

..CARBIN.. 11/09/2006








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