[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 251632
SWODY1
SPC AC 251629

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1029 AM CST SAT NOV 25 2006

VALID 251630Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION...
MDT SWLY FLOW WITHIN BROAD SRN STREAM JET WILL REMAIN SITUATED FROM
NRN MX ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES WITH NRN
STREAM JET ALONG THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER. VERY COOL AIR ALOFT WILL
EXIST OVER MUCH OF THE NRN AND WRN CONUS WHICH WILL RESULT IN
CONDITIONAL THREAT OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS SRN IA
AND NRN MO WITH ELEVATED MOISTURE RETURN. 

...NRN MO/SRN IA/ERN NEB/KS...
MOIST PLUME IS IN PLACE WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 0.50-0.75.
CONTINUED ELEVATED WARM ADVECTION ALONG WITH RELATIVELY STEEP MID
LVL LAPSE RATES MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AS WEAK UPPER
LVL SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW EMERGING INTO WRN KS CONTINUES NEWD...AND
LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AROUND 850 MB PERSISTS.

..JEWELL/HALES.. 11/25/2006