[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 111220
SWODY1
SPC AC 111218

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0618 AM CST SAT NOV 11 2006

VALID 111300Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY IS PROGGED TO
AMPLIFY TONIGHT CLOSING OFF AN UPPER LOW OVER THE CAROLINAS BY 12Z
SUNDAY. COLD FRONT EXTENDS SWWD FROM THE SURFACE LOW OVER ERN OH
VALLEY TO OFFSHORE TX COAST.

BY TONIGHT A NEW SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP VA/NC AS UPSTREAM TROUGH
INTENSIFIES.  STRONG ASCENT TONIGHT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT
IN EXPANDING AREA OF PRECIPITATION CENTRAL APPALACHIANS EWD.

WITH LITTLE GULF MOISTURE AVAILABLE OVER SERN U.S...INSTABILITY
EXPECTED TO BE MEAGER AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND TROUGH. WHILE SOME
CONVECTION IS LIKELY...PARTICULARLY TONIGHT WITH THE INTENSIFYING
UPPER SYSTEM...SEVERE STORMS NOT EXPECTED.

..HALES/GRAMS.. 11/11/2006