[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 070104
SWODY1
SPC AC 070102

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0802 PM CDT SAT MAY 06 2006

VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND
SEWD TOWARD THE MIDDLE TX COAST...

...CENTRAL AND ERN TX ACROSS THE GULF COAST...
LIMITED SEVERE THREAT WILL PERSIST FROM TX ACROSS THE GULF COAST
REGION OVERNIGHT...WHERE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND MARGINAL SHEAR
IS EVIDENT.

GREATEST THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST FROM THE TX HILL COUNTRY ESEWD
TOWARD THE COAST...WHERE 1000 T0 2000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE IS
INDICATED.  WITH LOW-LEVEL ESELYS BENEATH MODERATE MID-LEVEL
WNWLYS...SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED/SUPERCELL STORMS EXISTS. 
THOUGH ALL MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A WEAKENING TREND WITH TIME
ACROSS THIS REGION AS UPPER SUPPORT SLIDES BY TO THE N...WILL
CONTINUE A SLIGHT RISK FORECAST -- AT LEAST INTO THIS EVENING.

FURTHER E...STORMS ACROSS SRN MS/SRN AL ASSOCIATED WITH MCV REMNANTS
HAVE SHOWN A WEAKENING TREND WITH TIME.  THOUGH SOME THREAT EXISTS
FOR A STRONGER STORM OR TWO TO PERSIST THROUGH THIS
EVENING...OVERALL THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO WANE.

..GOSS.. 05/07/2006