[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 130054
SWODY1
SPC AC 130052

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006

VALID 130100Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN PORTIONS OF WA/ORE
INTO WRN MT...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF FL...

...PARTS OF THE PAC NW INTO NRN AND CENTRAL ID/WRN MT...
A FEW STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE FROM PARTS OF ERN OREGON
NEWD INTO WRN MT...WITHIN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE
INSTABILITY AND VEERING/SHEARED FLOW WITH HEIGHT SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS.  THOUGH BOUNDARY-LAYER COOLING SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN SEVERE THREAT WITH TIME OVERNIGHT...ISOLATED
THREAT FOR HAIL AND LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS
EVENING.

...HIGH PLAINS...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS FROM NERN WY SSWWD
INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS...WITHIN MARGINALLY- TO MODERATELY-UNSTABLE
AIRMASS.  DESPITE THE FORECAST DEVELOPMENT OF A 30 KT SLY/SELY
LOW-LEVEL JET THIS EVENING...MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE WILL NOT INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY OVERNIGHT.  THIS COMBINED
WITH BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION SUGGESTS THAT SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
WANE SLOWLY THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

...FL...
ALBERTO IS NOW LOCATED OVER THE ERN GULF OFF THE NW FL COAST...WITH
STRONGER BAND OF CONVECTION STILL W OF THE FL W COAST. A FEW
CONVECTIVE CELLS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED W OF MLB...AND N OF
TPA...SO A SLIGHTLY GREATER THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES SEEMS TO
BE EVOLVING.  THEREFORE...WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT RISK AREA ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NRN FL.

...PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE INVOF COLD FRONT FROM THE CAROLINAS WSWWD TO
SERN LA.  CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY BEGUN A SLOW DECREASE IN
INTENSITY...AND EXPECT THIS GENERAL TREND TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS AS BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO STABILIZE.  

IN THE MEAN TIME...EXPECT A FEW STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS TO
CONTINUE ACROSS THIS REGION...WITHIN MARGINALLY-UNSTABLE WARM
SECTOR.

..GOSS.. 06/13/2006