[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 110053
SWODY1
SPC AC 110051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...UPPER OH VALLEY/NRN APPALACHIANS...
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LOW CENTERED OVER SWRN
ONTARIO WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT MOVING EWD
ACROSS WRN NY AND WRN PA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS
THE REGION JUST AHEAD OF THE UPPER-TROUGH INCLUDING A LINE OF STRONG
STORMS OVER WRN NY. ALTHOUGH SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN ADEQUATE FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS...INSTABILITY SHOULD BEGIN TO STEADILY DECREASE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE REGION. FOR THIS REASON...ANY
MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS SHOULD QUICKLY
DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

...SRN PLAINS/OZARK PLATEAU...
AN UPPER-TROUGH OVER THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EWD THIS EVENING SUPPORTING A LARGE MCS OVER OK...NW AR AND SRN MO.
ALTHOUGH REGIONAL PROFILERS CURRENTLY SHOW VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
ADEQUATE FOR SEVERE STORMS...INSTABILITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. FOR THIS REASON...THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND
GUSTS WITH THE STRONGER CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE SHOULD GRADUALLY
DIMINISH.

..BROYLES.. 07/11/2006