[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 231610
SWODY1
SPC AC 231608

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1008 AM CST MON JAN 23 2006

VALID 231630Z - 241200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S HUM 40 S JAN 20
NNW CBM 30 WNW RMG 20 S AVL 20 SSW DAN 60 SSE WAL ...CONT... 45 ENE
SGJ 60 SSW CTY.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
KY/TN. THIS FEATURE WILL EJECT ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION
TODAY...LEAVING A RELATIVELY MOIST LOW LEVEL AIR MASS IN ITS WAKE
OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES.  SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY SAG
SOUTHWARD ACROSS PARTS OF AL/GA AND THE CAROLINAS THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS AHEAD OF FRONT SHOW THE
POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF UP TO 1000 J/KG...ALONG
WITH 40-50 KNOTS OF DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR. THIS SUGGESTS A RISK
OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...DESPITE WEAK FORCING MECHANISMS.  PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT A FEW INTENSE STORMS CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND
HAIL MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF AL/GA/NORTH FL THIS AFTERNOON. 
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RATHER DISORGANIZED...PRECLUDING A
CATEGORICAL RISK AT THIS TIME.

..HART.. 01/23/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM