[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 211947
SWODY1
SPC AC 211945

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 PM CST SAT JAN 21 2006

VALID 212000Z - 221200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE BRO 25 WSW HDO
35 SW JCT 30 ESE SJT 45 W MWL 30 WSW GYI 15 SSW DEQ 15 S PBF 45 WSW
CBM 35 N MGM 25 SSE AUO 10 NNE MAI 40 WSW PFN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL/EAST TX AND LOWER MS VALLEY...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A TROUGH OVER THE SWRN STATES/NRN BAJA
REGION...WITH THIS FEATURE EXPECTED TO REACH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS BY
12Z SUNDAY.  AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS AL/GA THIS FORECAST PERIOD.  THE SRN
EXTENT OF THIS BOUNDARY...NOW OVER THE WRN GULF...WILL RETREAT NWD
AS A WARM FRONT TOWARD THE MIDDLE TX COAST AND SRN LA. 

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NERN GULF COAST
STATES THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A GREATER LIKELIHOOD FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATER FARTHER WEST FROM EAST TX TO LOWER MS VALLEY.  SSELY LOW LEVEL
FLOW WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT FROM CENTRAL/E TX TO THE
LOWER MS VALLEY...ENHANCING WARM AIR ADVECTION AND DESTABILIZATION. 
THUS...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/SPREAD NWD ACROSS THE
TX COAST THIS PERIOD...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS DEVELOPING THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL/E TX TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN INSUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS.

..PETERS.. 01/21/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM