[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 150558
SWODY1
SPC AC 150557

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1157 PM CST SAT JAN 14 2006

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW P38 10 SW DPG
45 WSW COD 30 NNW GCC 30 ENE PUB 20 SE LVS 45 SE GNT 50 NE DUG 40 E
YUM 55 NNE DAG 60 NW P38.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER PATTERN WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE THIS PERIOD...AS WRN U.S.
TROUGH TRAVERSES THE ROCKIES WHILE ERN TROUGH MOVES ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EVOLVE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CONUS IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF WRN U.S. TROUGH. 
THOUGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO RETURN NWD ACROSS E TX/WRN
LA/AR THIS PERIOD...LARGE-SCALE SUBSIDENCE SHOULD MAINTAIN A
LOW-LEVEL CAP PRECLUDING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS AREA. 
THUNDER THREAT THIS PERIOD WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE ROCKIES
BENEATH APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.  

...SWRN U.S. NEWD INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...
CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO SPREAD SEWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GREAT
BASIN/CENTRAL ROCKIES THIS PERIOD AS UPPER TROUGH DIGS SEWD ACROSS
THE REGION.  DIURNAL HEATING BENEATH COLD POOL /-28 TO -32 C AT 500
MB/ SHOULD YIELD MARGINAL INSTABILITY -- SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN LARGER AREA OF PRECIPITATION.  THUNDER SHOULD
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...WITH GREATEST THREAT SHIFTING INTO AZ/NM/CO
THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 01/15/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM