[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 080528
SWODY1
SPC AC 080527

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 PM CST SAT JAN 07 2006

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS FCST THROUGH DAY-1.  MAIN
FEATURE WILL BE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS NOW MOVING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL
ROCKIES AND ANOTHER MOVING ESEWD OVER INLAND PACIFIC NW.  LATTER
SHOULD DIG SEWD TOWARD CO BY 9/12Z.  BY THEN...IT SHOULD BE PHASING
WITH TRAILING PORTION OF FIRST PERTURBATION TO RESULT IN POSITIVELY
TILTED TROUGH FROM UPPER GREAT LAKES WSWWD TO CENTRAL ROCKIES.

AT SFC...BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE OVER
CENTRAL PLAINS AHEAD OF LEADING MID/UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH.  RESULT
SHOULD BE DEEP LOW LOCATED INVOF MO/NEB BORDER BY 8/12Z...WHICH WILL
OCCLUDE AND FILL AS IT EJECTS NEWD TOWARD SERN ONT/WRN NY THROUGH
PERIOD.  ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN
PLAINS AND MS VALLEY...REACHING FROM CYCLONE SWWD ACROSS AR AND SW
TX BY 9/12Z.

LOW LEVEL AIR MASS ACROSS PORTIONS WRN/CENTRAL GULF COASTAL PLAIN
WILL MOISTEN AND DESTABILIZE SOMEWHAT -- FROM W-E -- AS EARLY STAGE
RETURN FLOW PROCESS PROCEEDS THROUGH PERIOD.  ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL
WAA ALREADY IS UNDERWAY ACROSS WRN GULF COAST STATES NWD INTO
CENTRAL PLAINS AND MS VALLEY...IN RESPONSE TO CENTRAL PLAINS
CYCLOGENESIS.  HOWEVER..LACK OF MORE MATURE MODIFICATION OF MARINE
AIR MASS REACHING LAND...AND LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL LOW LEVEL FORCING
IMPINGING ON MOISTENING SECTOR UNTIL AFTER 9/12Z...INDICATE GEN
THUNDER POTENTIAL WILL BE TOO MINIMAL FOR OUTLOOK UNTIL DAY-2
PERIOD.

..EDWARDS.. 01/08/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM