[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 080057
SWODY1
SPC AC 080055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CST SAT JAN 07 2006

VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW CLM OLM DLS
RDM 60 N LMT 50 NW 4BK.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
HEIGHTS ALOFT CONTINUE TO FILL ACROSS MOST OF WRN CONUS AS SERIES OF
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE ACROSS AREA IN GENERAL WNWLY FLOW REGIME. 
MOST PROMINENT OF THESE -- NOW MOVING INLAND WA/ORE BASED ON
MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY -- IS EXPECTED TO DEAMPLIFY SOMEWHAT AS IT
ASSUMES INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE TILT OVER INLAND PACIFIC NW.

AT SFC...DEEP CYCLOGENESIS IS UNDERWAY OVER CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...WITH BROAD AREA OF ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL WAA FROM WRN GULF
COAST REGION INTO CORN BELT AND UPPER MS VALLEY.  HOWEVER...AIR MASS
E OF ROCKIES WILL REMAIN TOO DRY AND/OR STABLE FOR TSTMS.

...PACIFIC NW...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AND SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN REGION OF STRONGEST FORCING ALOFT...NOW
MOVING EWD ACROSS PORTIONS WRN ORE AND ADJACENT PACIFIC WATERS.  VIS
IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED CB EXTENDING FARTHER N ACROSS WA
COASTAL/OFFSHORE WATERS ALSO.  ALTHOUGH LATER ACTIVITY HAS NOT
PRODUCED CG LIGHTNING DETECTIONS AS OF THIS WRITING...FAVORABLE
LOW-MIDLEVEL INSTABILITY IS EVIDENT FOR THUNDER WITH ABOUT 200 J/KG
MUCAPE IN 00Z UIL SOUNDING.  VERY BRIEF/ISOLATED TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE
FARTHER INLAND ACROSS ERN PORTIONS WA/ORE AND INTERIOR NRN CA
TONIGHT...BUT PROBABILITIES DIMINISH WITH EWD EXTENT SUCH THAT GEN
TSTM FCST IS NOT NECESSARY.

..EDWARDS.. 01/08/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM